iskra
54193d3177
/pm-thesis, /pm-calibration, /pm-fees, /overfit-check wrapping the public th-api / tools / th-validator free-tier endpoints. Analytics + phantom-battery verdicts only; RIA-compliant (no persona/signal internals, disclaimers mandatory). Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_013EsBGJjjHKmNdm5KEcd9bH
44 lines
2 KiB
Markdown
44 lines
2 KiB
Markdown
# TradeHouse Prediction-Markets — Claude Code plugin marketplace
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Prediction-market analytics inside Claude Code, backed by **TradeHouse** public APIs:
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settlement-truth market data, venue calibration curves computed over 150k+ resolved markets,
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a live-measured fee schedule, and the **phantom battery** (deflated Sharpe / PBO) that we use to
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kill overfit backtests before they cost money.
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## Install
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```bash
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claude plugin marketplace add https://git.eliteaiempire.com/eas-oss/tradehouse-prediction-markets.git
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claude plugin install tradehouse-prediction-markets@tradehouse
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```
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## Commands
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| Command | What it does |
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|---|---|
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| `/pm-thesis <ticker>` | Cross-venue pricing snapshot + calibration context + fee hurdle for one market |
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| `/pm-calibration [venue]` | Reliability curve, Brier score, favorite-longshot read for a venue (free: polymarket, polymarket_us, opinion) |
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| `/pm-fees <venue> <price>` | Round-trip platform cost in USD and bps — the break-even edge hurdle |
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| `/overfit-check <returns> [trials=N]` | Deflated-Sharpe + PBO verdict on your backtest — the metric leaderboards don't show |
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## Free tier & upgrades
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All commands use free public endpoints (no API key). Free tier is rate-limited; HTTP 402/429
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responses point at the paid tiers. Pro/Desk tiers (full per-category calibration, the live Desk,
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Risk Cockpit, datasets): https://th-validator.eliteaiempire.com/pricing
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## What this plugin will NOT do
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- No investment advice, no trade recommendations, no signals. Outputs are market analytics and
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statistical validation verdicts, with the API's compliance disclaimer reproduced verbatim.
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- No access to TradeHouse's internal trading personas or signal internals — the public,
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compliance-hardened API surface is the only data source.
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Simulated/backtested performance is not indicative of future results.
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## Related
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- TradeHouse Overfit Validator (web): https://th-validator.eliteaiempire.com/validator
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- Agent-data MCP quickstart: https://git.eliteaiempire.com/eas-oss/tradehouse-mcp-quickstart
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MIT licensed.
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