eas-oss/tradehouse-prediction-markets
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tradehouse-prediction-markets/README.md
iskra 54193d3177 TradeHouse prediction-markets Claude Code plugin marketplace v1.0.0 
/pm-thesis, /pm-calibration, /pm-fees, /overfit-check wrapping the public
th-api / tools / th-validator free-tier endpoints. Analytics + phantom-battery
verdicts only; RIA-compliant (no persona/signal internals, disclaimers mandatory).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_013EsBGJjjHKmNdm5KEcd9bH
2026-07-29 09:25:55 -07:00

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TradeHouse Prediction-Markets — Claude Code plugin marketplace

Prediction-market analytics inside Claude Code, backed by TradeHouse public APIs: settlement-truth market data, venue calibration curves computed over 150k+ resolved markets, a live-measured fee schedule, and the phantom battery (deflated Sharpe / PBO) that we use to kill overfit backtests before they cost money.

Install

claude plugin marketplace add https://git.eliteaiempire.com/eas-oss/tradehouse-prediction-markets.git
claude plugin install tradehouse-prediction-markets@tradehouse

Commands

Command What it does
/pm-thesis <ticker> Cross-venue pricing snapshot + calibration context + fee hurdle for one market
/pm-calibration [venue] Reliability curve, Brier score, favorite-longshot read for a venue (free: polymarket, polymarket_us, opinion)
/pm-fees <venue> <price> Round-trip platform cost in USD and bps — the break-even edge hurdle
/overfit-check <returns> [trials=N] Deflated-Sharpe + PBO verdict on your backtest — the metric leaderboards don't show

Free tier & upgrades

All commands use free public endpoints (no API key). Free tier is rate-limited; HTTP 402/429 responses point at the paid tiers. Pro/Desk tiers (full per-category calibration, the live Desk, Risk Cockpit, datasets): https://th-validator.eliteaiempire.com/pricing

What this plugin will NOT do

  • No investment advice, no trade recommendations, no signals. Outputs are market analytics and statistical validation verdicts, with the API's compliance disclaimer reproduced verbatim.
  • No access to TradeHouse's internal trading personas or signal internals — the public, compliance-hardened API surface is the only data source.

Simulated/backtested performance is not indicative of future results.

Related

MIT licensed.