Claude Code plugin marketplace: prediction-market analytics + DSR/PBO overfit verdicts from TradeHouse public APIs
iskra
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/pm-thesis, /pm-calibration, /pm-fees, /overfit-check wrapping the public th-api / tools / th-validator free-tier endpoints. Analytics + phantom-battery verdicts only; RIA-compliant (no persona/signal internals, disclaimers mandatory). Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_013EsBGJjjHKmNdm5KEcd9bH |
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| .claude-plugin | ||
| plugins/tradehouse-prediction-markets | ||
| LICENSE | ||
| README.md | ||
TradeHouse Prediction-Markets — Claude Code plugin marketplace
Prediction-market analytics inside Claude Code, backed by TradeHouse public APIs: settlement-truth market data, venue calibration curves computed over 150k+ resolved markets, a live-measured fee schedule, and the phantom battery (deflated Sharpe / PBO) that we use to kill overfit backtests before they cost money.
Install
claude plugin marketplace add https://git.eliteaiempire.com/eas-oss/tradehouse-prediction-markets.git
claude plugin install tradehouse-prediction-markets@tradehouse
Commands
| Command | What it does |
|---|---|
/pm-thesis <ticker> |
Cross-venue pricing snapshot + calibration context + fee hurdle for one market |
/pm-calibration [venue] |
Reliability curve, Brier score, favorite-longshot read for a venue (free: polymarket, polymarket_us, opinion) |
/pm-fees <venue> <price> |
Round-trip platform cost in USD and bps — the break-even edge hurdle |
/overfit-check <returns> [trials=N] |
Deflated-Sharpe + PBO verdict on your backtest — the metric leaderboards don't show |
Free tier & upgrades
All commands use free public endpoints (no API key). Free tier is rate-limited; HTTP 402/429 responses point at the paid tiers. Pro/Desk tiers (full per-category calibration, the live Desk, Risk Cockpit, datasets): https://th-validator.eliteaiempire.com/pricing
What this plugin will NOT do
- No investment advice, no trade recommendations, no signals. Outputs are market analytics and statistical validation verdicts, with the API's compliance disclaimer reproduced verbatim.
- No access to TradeHouse's internal trading personas or signal internals — the public, compliance-hardened API surface is the only data source.
Simulated/backtested performance is not indicative of future results.
Related
- TradeHouse Overfit Validator (web): https://th-validator.eliteaiempire.com/validator
- Agent-data MCP quickstart: https://git.eliteaiempire.com/eas-oss/tradehouse-mcp-quickstart
MIT licensed.